PREDICTIONS ON THE ARCHERY PAD
The word “Prediction” (“make known beforehand”) entered the English language in 16th century in the sense of “bringing to bear,” as related to the course the future will take. Although there is no end to the complexity of the subject of Predictions, it is vital to Critical Thinking for aiding Forethought (thinking ahead to imagine events as they probably will occur) and “Foresight” (filling the need generated by Forethought for making provisions or a proper path) in the present so proper offensive and defensive planning can begin designing a thriving future. For Ancient Africans the most noble, most consistent, and most meaningful predictions were known to come from the most Wise. And the Wise made choices based on the teachings of Sages (those wise through reflection and experience) concerning the hidden purposes of the deity. Yet each person, they said, has the potential to be wise, provided one does the hard work involved in cultivating an inquiring mind about profound values underlying human life–things like feelings, emotions, attitudes, beliefs, observed facts, and habitual co-operative activity. Throughout the ages predictions have been made by those ranging from the honorable to the very lowest of the dishonorable. Their methods have been said to come through intuition; dreams; visions in scrying (seeing in crystals images revealing remote future events); reading of signs—e.g. astrology, the Tarot, palmistry, numerology; and other methods of divination. In shamanic and oracular cultures, mind-altering drugs were often taken to induce prophecy from a divine or supernatural source. Regardless of the source of information, these predictions helped people gain some sense of security by presenting ideas of what is likely to come–on the order of expressing opinions as fact on fixed finite aspects of reality.
Categories for making predictions about most humans are to be found on the Archery Pad. Clues to fashion predictions about oneself; predictions about others; and for the assessment of the predictions presented start by having a “Big Picture” about each. I first discover a person’s philosophy of life (POL) and assess their actions to determine if they are oriented to the Spiritual, the Material, or a mixture of the Spiritual and Material realms. Broad assumed theoretical principles about each allow for specific Hypotheses (to make one thing the basis of another in the process of thought–which is not a “hunch”) or particular predictions. This is the process of Suppositions–something taken for granted–something assumed for the purpose of drawing implications or making inferences. What is supposed may be true, distorted, or false. Yet, the first concern is to see what evolves out of it; and only then to consider its truth in the light of its consequences: an “if…then…” situation. The ‘if’-clause formulates the hypothesis; the ‘then’-clause formulates the consequences or implications. Predictions are Inferences when one attempts to determine what is currently unknown from what is already known. For example, one might say that “if and when” certain factors are combined in certain ways, the results are predictable—Conditional Predictions.
To make a reasonable prediction using the POL process requires presuming a considerable amount of factual information. For example, Group I, bull’s eye, is those in control and in charge of their lives. By staying within the confines of self-discipline as the path to mental freedom and being geared to providing Selfless Service strongly suggest their POL is Spiritually based. They make Rational Predictions from “facts” used to fashion estimations or an educated guess. Chances are good that they can be trusted and will be successful and happy in life. Group II is the Transitional (‘Standing on the Chain’) who have flexible approaches to life, including their morals, because they lack a Certainty POL Base/Foundation. They add their own color to what they say they will do by means of perceptions, biases, and prejudices in order to make wrong thoughts and practices come out according to the “right” expectations of others. Thus, one can never be sure what they are going to do under any given circumstance. Group III possesses bad information, of which they are unaware out of ignorance, and are misleading. These are usually ones friends, relatives, and ‘authorities’. Group IV is Brutes whose greed focuses completely on the Material. They have no concept of knowledge but eagerly cultivate bad information for evil purposes. jabaileymd.com
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